Expected
Volume and Value of Structural Dimension Lumber from
25-, 30-, 35-,
40-, and 50-Year Old Loblolly Pine Plantation Timber
Dr. Evangelos J. Biblis,
Professor Emeritus & Dr. Honorio F. Carino, Professor
School of Forestry &
Wildlife Sciences
Auburn University, AL 36849, U.S.A.
Tel. - (334) 844-1090, Fax
- (334) 844-4221
E-Mail – biblisej@auburn.edu,
or carinhf@auburn.edu
Abstract
The expected volume and value (based
on Summer 2000 prices) of structural dimension lumber derived from
plantation-grown timber of 25-, 30-, 35-, 40-, and 50-year old loblolly pine (Pinus
taeda L.) were estimated and used to determine stumpage values through
regression analysis. Also, incremental analysis in conjunction with
discounted-cash-flow techniques were used to determine the economic
desirability of deferring the harvesting of a loblolly pine plantation stand of
a given age for purposes of producing structural dimension lumber.
The
results of the study provide compelling evidence that indeed the volume and
quality of sawlogs from loblolly pine plantations generally increase with stand
age. It was found, for instance, that for 25-, 30-, 35-, 40-, and 50-year old
loblolly pine stands like those investigated, the expected total volume yield
of stress-graded dimension lumber could be as much as 94.4 m3/ha.
(16.2 mbf/acre), 122.4 m3/ha. (21.0 mbf/acre), 151.0 m3/ha.
(25.9 mbf/acre), 179.0 m3/ha. (30.7 mbf/acre), and 235.0 m3/ha.
( 40.3 mbf/acre), respectively. On
average, the expected annual increase in volume yield could be about 5.61
cu.m./ha. (0.96 mbf/acre). The increased
quality of older loblolly pine plantation timber was clearly reflected by the
percentages (based on volume yield) of stress-graded dimension lumber graded
No. 1 & Better, which were 16.0%, 36.2%, 46.7%, 49.3%, and 83.0%,
respectively, for 25-, 30-, 35-, 40-, and 50-year old stands. This was also
reflected by the expected unit value yield which were $106/m3
($250/mbf), $123/m3 ($290/mbf), $140/m3 ($330/mbf),
$157/m3 ($370/mbf), and $192/m3 ($450/mbf),
respectively. On average, the expected
annual increase in unit value yield could be about $3.42/m3
($8/mbf).
Not
surprisingly, the stumpage value of loblolly pine plantations based solely on
the value of structural dimension lumber produced also increases with stand
age. For 25-, 30-, 35-, 40-, and 50-year
old stands like those investigated, the expected total value yield of
stress-graded dimension lumber could be as much as $10,006/ha. ($4,055/acre),
$15,055/ha. ($6,100/acre), $21,140/ha. ($8,531/acre), $28,103/ha. ($11,346/acre),
and $45,120/ha. ($18,133/acre), respectively.
On average, the expected annual increase in value yield could be about
$1,399/ha. ($566/acre).
Also,
it was determined that it would be economically desirable to defer the
harvesting of a 25-year old plantation stand of loblolly pine like the one
investigated by 5, 10, 15, or 25 years if the minimum acceptable rate of return
on investment (MARR) is less than 8.5%, 7.7%, 7.1%, or 6.2%, respectively. For a 30-year old stand, it would be
economically desirable to defer
harvesting it by 5, 10, or 20 years if the MARR is less than 6.9%, 6.4%,
or 5.6%, respectively. For a 35-year old
stand, it would be economically desirable to defer harvesting it by 5 or 10
years if the MARR is less than 5.9% or 4.8%, respectively. For a 40-year old stand, it would be
economically desirable to defer harvesting it by 10 years if the MARR is less
than 4.8%.
INTRODUCTION
Loblolly pine (Pinus taeda L.) is the most important species of timber growing in
the southern region of the United States of America. It is considered an ideal tree for site
restoration and forest management, largely because of its hardiness and
versatility in terms of its ability to reproduce and grow rapidly on diverse
sites (Schultz, 1997). More than half of
the southern yellow pine timber now available to sawmillers in the region comes
from plantations consisting mostly of loblolly pines. However,
dimension lumber producers are noticeably avoiding whenever possible the
use of timber from intensely managed loblolly pine plantations apparently
because of the fact that fast-grown pine trees produce a high proportion of
juvenile wood at young ages. Juvenile
wood, which in loblolly pine could occupy from 10 to 20 annual rings (Zobel and
Kirk, 1972), is generally undesirable for solid wood products production. It is known to be weaker and less stiff than
mature wood due to its lower specific gravity, shorter tracheids, larger fibril
angles, thinner cell walls, larger lumen diameter, lower percentage of summerwood,
more compression wood, and larger longitudinal shrinkage (Pearson and Gilmore,
1971; Zobel and Kirk, 1972; Zobel and Blair, 1976).
It has been determined that the
structural quality of dimension lumber from loblolly pine plantation sawtimber
increases with stand age and stand density (Biblis et al., 1993; Biblis et al.,
1995; Biblis et al., 1997; Biblis and Carino, 1999). This confirms the widespread belief among